 at risk – including Simon Hart , the Chief Whip, Steve Baker , a Northern Ireland Office minister, and Lee Anderson , a deputy chairman of the party. 'Shocked' on election day Warning that some Tory MPs would be 'shocked' on election day , Dr Luntz told Times Radio: 'Some of these MPs have already understood the frustration with the public, understood the tension between the economy and the environment, which is the conversation I kept hearing. '[They] expressed their frustration about immigration , crime and the roads, don't see that Labour's going to bring about the change they want and they're already winning back disaffected Tories. 'So I used that 15,000 mark, frankly, to be provocative, and clearly it was. But I would say that if your majority is less than 8,000, you might want to look for another job.' Dr Luntz, who has helped political leaders across the Atlantic for more than three decades, added the next election was not a foregone conclusion as Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party 'has completely and utterly failed to give the alternative'. Asked to give his assessment of Sir Keir, he said: 'No one knows who he is. No one knows what he's about. They know that Labour r){kind=link}
Dr Frank Luntz, a veteran political strategist, suggests almost a third of Conservative seats are likely to be lost in the 2024 election
Conservative MPs with a majority of 8,000 or less “might want to look for another job” ahead of the next election, a leading pollster has said.
Dr Frank Luntz, a veteran American political strategist, suggested almost one-third of Tory MPs returned to the Commons in 2019 are unlikely to be re-elected in 2024.
The pollster, whose messaging skills have been lauded by David Cameron and Barack Obama, had previously told backbenchers that any of them with a margin of less than 15,000 should prepare to lose their seat.
But speaking on the first day of the annual Conservative Party Conference in Manchester, Dr Luntz said that figure was deliberately “provocative” and that the threshold for concern is actually 8,000.