21 September, Saturday, 2024
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HomeSourcestelegraph.co.ukOne in four chance of a 'catastrophic' pandemic in five years

One in four chance of a ‘catastrophic’ pandemic in five years

‘Reasonable worst-case scenario’ could mean 50pc of population falling ill and 840,000 deaths

There is up to a one in four chance that a “catastrophic” pandemic will hit the UK in the next five years, a new Cabinet Office document has warned.

In the so-called “reasonable worst-case scenario”, a future pandemic could result in 50 per cent of the population falling ill and some 840,000 people in Britain dying.

The threat was one of scores flagged up in the National Risk Register, where the Government looks ahead at potential dangers and considers mitigation measures.

While inherently shrouded in uncertainty, the analysis underscores how those in Whitehall tasked with trying to plan ahead think a repeat of the Covid-19 pandemic is not impossible.

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