Hiring activity falls amid cost-of-living crisis – report

Hiring activity in Scotland fell last month as economic uncertainty and the cost-of-living crisis affected the labour market, according to a new report.The Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) report on jobs found that both permanent and temporary staff appointments contracted last month.Permanent placements have now fallen in two of the past three months, with the rate of contraction the fastest seen in nearly two years.Scottish recruitment consultancies also noted a reduction in temporary placements during October, ending a 25-month run of expansion. Labour market conditions across Scotland deteriorated in OctoberThe rate of contraction was the quickest seen since July 2020 during the initial wave of the pandemic.Sebastian Burnside, chief economist at RBS, said: ‘Labour market conditions across Scotland deteriorated in October, as for the first time since August 2020 both permanent placements and temporary billings contracted.’At the same time, rates of vacancy growth for both permanent and short-term staff continued to ease.’Candidate and skill shortages, meanwhile, stretched the supply of labour thin, with recruiters also noting that increased economic uncertainty had impacted candidate numbers.’Though it does seem that market imbalances are becoming less pronounced, the effect on pay remains strong.’The data therefore suggest that growing uncertainty about the economy and the cost-of-living crisis are already affecting the labour market, and could weigh further on hiring decisions for the remainder of the final quarter of 2022.’The RBS Report on Jobs is compiled by S&P Global from responses to questionnaires sent to a panel of around 100 Scottish recruitment and employment consultancies.Recruiters across Scotland noted the 21st successive monthly fall in permanent candidate availability during October.Panellists generally linked the latest downturn to skill shortages and increased hesitancy to seek out new roles due to rising economic uncertainty.The supply of temporary labour across Scotland fell again during October.Despite being severe overall, the rate of decline was the second-slowest in seven months.Recruiters highlighted a lack of European workers and ongoing skill shortages as factors constraining supply.Meanwhile latest survey data indicated that average starting salaries for permanent staff in Scotland increased at the slowest pace since June 2021 during October.